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Thursday, August 28, 2025

A Fundamental Analysis of PT Dua Putra Utama Makmur Tbk (DPUM)



A Fundamental Analysis of PT Dua Putra Utama Makmur Tbk (DPUM) 

Fundamental analysis is the process of evaluating a company's intrinsic value by examining its financial statements, business model, and competitive position. This article provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis of PT Dua Putra Utama Makmur Tbk (DPUM), an Indonesian company primarily engaged in the fisheries and cold storage industry.

A Fundamental Analysis of PT Dua Putra Utama Makmur Tbk (DPUM)
A Fundamental Analysis of PT Dua Putra Utama Makmur Tbk (DPUM) 


1. Company Overview and Business Model

PT Dua Putra Utama Makmur Tbk (DPUM) operates in the fisheries and seafood processing sector. The company's business model is centered on a fully integrated supply chain, from catching fish to processing, cold storage, and distribution. DPUM's primary revenue streams are generated from the sales of fresh and frozen fish and other seafood products, both domestically and internationally. Its value proposition lies in its ability to manage the entire process, ensuring product quality and efficiency. The company owns a fleet of fishing vessels and has its own cold storage and processing facilities, which are key assets in its business operations.


2. Financial Performance and Key Ratios

A thorough examination of DPUM's financial performance over recent periods reveals a highly challenging and precarious situation, which is a major concern for investors.

A. Profitability

DPUM's profitability has been in a dire state, with the company consistently reporting substantial losses.

  • Net Profit: The company has reported a net loss for several consecutive periods. For the full year 2024, DPUM recorded a staggering net loss of IDR 50.8 billion, a worsening from a net loss of IDR 30 billion in 2023. These massive, accumulating losses are a major red flag, indicating that the company's expenses are far outpacing its revenues and that it is failing to generate a profit from its core operations.

  • Revenue: In line with its profit struggles, the company's revenue has also shown a decline. In Q1 2025, revenue was IDR 2.62 billion, a decrease from IDR 5.61 billion in the same period of 2024. This shrinking top line, coupled with consistent losses, is a worrying sign for a company that should be capitalizing on a growing seafood market.

  • Profitability Ratios:

    • Net Profit Margin (NPM): DPUM's NPM is in the negative range, at approximately -194%. A negative margin signifies that the company is losing an immense amount of money on every sale, which is a severe financial problem.

    • Return on Equity (ROE): The company's ROE is also deeply negative, at -104%. A negative ROE shows that the company is not only failing to generate a return on shareholder capital but is actively destroying shareholder value.

B. Solvency and Liquidity

Assessing DPUM's ability to meet its financial obligations is critical, especially given its significant losses and a high debt load.

  • Debt-to-Equity Ratio: The company has a dangerously high debt-to-equity ratio of 135.5%. This signifies that DPUM is extremely leveraged, relying heavily on debt to finance its operations. A high debt load in a company with a history of losses poses a significant risk of default and potential bankruptcy.

  • Current Ratio: The company's current ratio is at 0.25. A ratio this far below 1 indicates that the company has insufficient short-term assets to cover its short-term liabilities, a clear sign of severe liquidity issues.


3. Valuation and Market Performance

Valuation metrics provide insight into whether the stock is fairly priced by the market.

  • Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: A P/E ratio cannot be calculated for a company with negative earnings. The absence of a positive P/E ratio is a strong negative signal, highlighting the company's unprofitability.

  • Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio: DPUM's P/B ratio is approximately 0.15x. A P/B ratio this far below 1 suggests that the market has very low confidence in the company and values it at a significant discount to its book value. This is not necessarily a sign of undervaluation but a clear reflection of the market's justified pessimism about the company's future.

  • Stock Performance: The company's stock price has performed poorly, with a significant decline over the past year. The stock's performance has significantly underperformed the broader Indonesian market, reflecting the widespread concern among investors about its financial health.


4. Risks and Opportunities

An investment in DPUM comes with a unique set of significant risks and, potentially, limited opportunities.

Opportunities:

  • Marine Resources: Indonesia's vast marine resources provide a long-term potential for growth in the fisheries sector.

  • Integrated Business Model: The company's integrated supply chain could be an asset if management can successfully restructure and improve operational efficiency.

Risks:

  • Severe Financial Distress: The most significant risk is the company's severe financial condition, characterized by massive losses, negative profitability, and an unsustainable debt load.

  • High Leverage: The high debt-to-equity ratio and the company's financial losses pose a significant risk of financial distress.

  • Commodity Price Volatility: The company's revenue is highly sensitive to fluctuations in the price of fish and seafood.

  • Intense Competition: The fisheries industry is highly competitive, with numerous players vying for market share.

Conclusion

Based on a fundamental analysis, PT Dua Putra Utama Makmur Tbk (DPUM) is a highly speculative and extremely high-risk investment. The company's financial state is precarious, marked by persistent massive net losses, a high debt-to-equity ratio, and severe liquidity issues. Its inability to turn a profit and create shareholder value makes it a challenging proposition for even the most risk-tolerant investor.

For a prudent investor, the stock's extremely low P/B ratio is not a sign of undervaluation but rather a clear reflection of the market's profound lack of confidence in the company's ability to recover. An investment in DPUM should only be considered by those with a very high-risk tolerance who are speculating on a dramatic and improbable financial turnaround.

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